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This is a scene where Chairman Kim Jong-un of North Korea meets with Russian President Putin.
In North Korea, Chairman Kim Jong-un and Russian President Putin met and led to an agreement whose details were not disclosed.
Experts believe that North Korea supplied traditional ammunition to Russia in exchange for , Russia supplying defense technology, food, and energy.
Among these, the most troublesome is the defense technology, in which Russia is likely to provide North Korea with liquid rocket technology, solid rocket technology, ballistic missile re-entry technology, etc., necessary for the reconnaissance satellite launcher that failed to launch twice.
Some even suggest that Russia could provide North Korea with SLBM submarine design and construction technology and even nuclear reactor technology.
This is the appearance of Mars-15 revealed by North Korea, which can only move in very limited areas due to its realistically high weight and volume.
What is the meaning of the North Korea-Russia agreement?
North Korea is developing intercontinental ballistic missiles such as Mars-15/17 that can reach the United States, but it is not showing a properly stabilized appearance as it repeats success and failure. And it has not secured the technology to re-enter the nuclear warhead into the Earth’s atmosphere and heat-resistant materials.
The intercontinental ballistic missile that North Korea is developing with the United States as its target is very large, so it can only move in a limited area using a fixed ground launcher or a large mobile launcher that can move at human walking speed.
In response to North Korea’s ballistic missile and intercontinental ballistic missile, South Korea is developing Hyunmoo-4/5 ballistic missiles, which are estimated to have an underground penetration power of more than 100m. And it plans to purchase an additional 20 F-35A stealth fighters that can detect and track North Korea’s mobile launchers without air supremacy, and is currently developing a Korean-style ultra-small SAR reconnaissance satellite and stealth unmanned reconnaissance aircraft.
The Kim Gun-ok ship built by North Korea is equipped with excessively large structures on a small hull, and many analyses suggest that the safety of the hull will be greatly lacking.
◆ What weapons does North Korea want?
North Korea is no match for the South Korean military in terms of traditional power. So, it is developing intercontinental ballistic missiles to threaten South Korea with nuclear weapons and undermine the Korea-US alliance.
The problem is that North Korea’s intercontinental ballistic missile power in development is already deployed or under development, so North Korea needs a new countermeasure.
That countermeasure is the Kim Gun-ok ship construction project that can carry SLBM (Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile), but North Korea does not have a proper submarine technology, so it appeared in the form of forcibly expanding the existing Romeo-class submarine hull.
Domestic and foreign submarine experts all point out that North Korean submarines are realistically impossible to make proper ocean voyages, and when they eject heavy objects like SLBM, the hull is likely to capsize.
Therefore, domestic experts analyze that North Korea is likely to secure the design and construction technology of traditional SLBM submarines like the Golf class, which Russia operated in the past, and related parts, rather than nuclear reactor technology that North Korea cannot afford economically, by contacting Russia.
This is a Golf-class SLBM submarine that was operated during the Soviet era. It was not an excellent submarine in terms of performance, but it had enough stability to make ocean voyages.
What is the Korean Navy’s response?
The Kim Gun-ok ship currently disclosed by North Korea is likely to be realistically impossible to make an ocean voyage, and realistically, it is likely to operate in the inner sea near the mainland or around the port.
Domestic experts say that the best method North Korea can choose is to wait in a submerged state with an SLBM submarine in the inner sea around Sinpo Harbor. And if the submarine is protected by mines and anti-submarine nets around it, it is almost impossible to strike with the current anti-submarine attack system owned by South Korea or the United States.
In 2010, after the Cheonan ship sinking incident, South Korea began developing an unmanned submarine for anti-submarine use.
The actual developers explained that although it is still in the testing and development stage, if the threat from North Korea becomes real and there is no need to identify a friend or foe and the operational area is narrow, it has reached a level where it can quickly deploy an anti-submarine unmanned submarine in real combat.
I analyzed the entire development process in detail through the e-book <한국 해군 전력증강과 신기술 2023>.
